XRP and XLM outlook: Persistent bearish momentum keeps Ripple and Stellar under pressure

• Below $1.30, XRP retains a bearish short-term bias on Tuesday, with key EMAs still overhead.
• Below $0.169 on Tuesday, XLM faces continued pressure despite the previous day’s modest recovery.
• Fading momentum, conflicting derivatives signals and cautious on-chain readings limit gains in both altcoins.

$1.30 remains above Ripple (XRP) on Tuesday. Stellar (XLM) also trades below $0.169, with both tokens still under pressure despite a modest recovery the previous day. Trading beneath their key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), XRP and XLM continue to show bearish price action. Conflicting derivatives readings and cautious on-chain signals also constrain any sustained recovery in the two altcoins.

0.77 and 0.91: Derivatives signals restrain XRP and XLM rebounds

Conditions in Ripple and Stellar derivatives markets are deteriorating. On Tuesday, CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratios stand at 0.77 for XRP and 0.91 for XLM, close to their lowest readings in over a month. Readings below one signal bearish sentiment, reflecting traders’ bets on declining asset prices.

Funding rates offer a contrasting signal. XRP’s rate turned positive on 16 October and XLM’s on Monday, reaching 0.0100% and 0.0045%, respectively, on Tuesday. Long positions are therefore paying short positions, pointing to a mildly bullish outlook.

With positive funding rates contrasting with bearish positioning, overall derivatives sentiment appears cautious. That divergence continues to limit sustained recoveries in XRP and XLM.

On-chain signals favour caution

A bearish outlook for both altcoins emerges from CryptoQuant’s summary data. In XRP’s spot and futures markets, large whale orders coincide with heating conditions and sell-side dominance. Together, these readings indicate a cautious, bearish bias among Ripple traders.

Sell-side dominance also characterises XLM’s spot and futures markets, pointing to a negative outlook among Stellar traders.

$3.61 million outflow signals softer institutional demand

Institutional demand for XRP opened the week negatively, according to SoSoValue data. Spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) posted an outflow of $3.61 million on Monday. XRP could face a deeper correction if these outflows persist and accelerate through the week.

$1.300 XRP technical outlook: Key EMAs limit upside

At $1.300 on Tuesday, XRP retains a bearish short-term bias below its key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). Overhead resistance is layered at the 100-day EMA of $1.333, the 50-day EMA of $1.360 and the 200-day EMA of $1.369. While the pair trades below this cluster, those dynamic barriers are likely to constrain rebounds.

A Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 40 reflects subdued momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also remains negative. Its recent improvement points to easing downside pressure, rather than a definitive bullish turn.

The first upside hurdle is the 100-day EMA at $1.333. Beyond it lie the 50-day EMA at $1.360 and the 200-day EMA at $1.369, with further horizontal resistance at $1.540 and $1.900.

Just beneath the current price, the horizontal floor at $1.300 provides nearby support. Buyers may seek to defend the recent range there. A decisive breach would likely leave XRP vulnerable to further losses and keep the token within its broader corrective phase.

$0.168 XLM technical outlook: Bearish momentum persists

At $0.168 on Tuesday, XLM continues to retreat beneath all its key EMAs, retaining a bearish short-term bias. The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs form a tight overhead cluster between roughly $0.188 and $0.190. Rallies are likely to face difficulty while the price stays below that band. 

Near 34, the daily RSI is approaching oversold territory. The MACD remains below zero despite a modest improvement, suggesting that selling momentum is easing rather than confirming a bottom.

The horizontal barrier near $0.173 is the first upside resistance. Beyond that sits the EMA cluster around $0.188–$0.190, reinforcing the broader bearish structure.

Should buyers pursue a more substantial recovery, the former rising trendline support, now resistance around $0.201, would provide the next cap. The higher horizontal level at $0.234 follows.

The previous floor around $0.153 offers immediate downside support. A sustained breach would pave the way for another decline, even as momentum readings become increasingly stretched.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)