
With key interest rates held steady at the October policy meeting, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde sets out the reasons for the decision and takes questions from the press.
"We have seen an increase in indirect effects from the energy price surge."
"We are not seeing a risk of second round effects in addition to what's in the projections."
"Cost of long-term financing clearly increased vs September."
"Governing Council debated whether a rate hike was appropriate."

"Based on uncertainty, unchanged underlying inflation, Governing Council decided unanimously to hold."
"Measured approach remains appropriate at this point in time."
Following these comments, EUR/USD recovered modestly from its session lows. The pair was last trading at 1.1135, down 0.15% on the day.
Used by the 20 European Union countries within the Eurozone, the Euro is the world’s second most actively traded currency after the US Dollar. Its share of all foreign exchange transactions stood at 31% in 2022, with daily turnover averaging more than $2.2 trillion. An estimated 30% of all transactions involve EUR/USD, making it the world’s most actively traded currency pair. Next come EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).
Based in Frankfurt, Germany, the European Central Bank (ECB) serves as the Eurozone’s reserve bank, setting interest rates and overseeing monetary policy. Maintaining price stability is the ECB’s core mandate, whether through controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Raising and lowering interest rates is its principal policy tool. The Euro generally benefits when rates are relatively high, or expected to rise; the reverse also applies. Monetary policy is decided by the ECB Governing Council at eight meetings each year. The decision-makers comprise the heads of the Eurozone’s national banks and six permanent members, among them ECB President Christine Lagarde.
Measured using the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), Eurozone inflation is a key economic indicator for the Euro. An unexpectedly strong rise in inflation, particularly above the ECB’s 2% target, requires the central bank to increase interest rates to bring price pressures back under control. When the region’s interest rates are relatively high compared with those elsewhere, global investors find it a more attractive destination for their money. This generally supports the Euro.
By providing a measure of economic health, data releases can affect the Euro’s performance. GDP, manufacturing and services PMIs, employment figures and consumer sentiment surveys are among the indicators that can steer the single currency. Economic strength supports the Euro by drawing in more overseas investment. It may also prompt the ECB to raise interest rates, directly strengthening the currency. Weak economic readings, by contrast, are likely to weigh on the Euro. Particular attention is paid to figures from Germany, France, Italy and Spain, the euro area’s four largest economies, which together represent 75% of the Eurozone economy.
The Trade Balance is another important release for the Euro, showing the gap between a country’s export earnings and its spending on imports over a specified period. Strong foreign demand for a country’s exports creates additional demand for its currency as overseas buyers seek to purchase those goods, lifting its value. A positive net Trade Balance therefore supports a currency, while a negative balance has the opposite effect.