Iran’s Qeshm Island near Strait of Hormuz hit by US strikes — WSJ

A United States (US) attack on Iran’s Qeshm Island on Monday was the latest in a series of limited strikes Washington has conducted secretly against the country in recent weeks, according to a Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report citing US officials.

Before the attacks, US President Donald Trump had downplayed the prospect of renewed war with Iran following Tuesday’s midterm elections. 

According to Press TV, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said it had intercepted and brought down two US MQM-170 drones south of Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz. It also said the 55th US MQ-9 drone had been destroyed east of the Hormuz Strait.

TMGM Analysis: Financial Market News, Economic Calendar & Market Insights

WTI trades higher

A daily gain of 0.71% puts West Texas Intermediate (WTI) at $95.65 at the time of writing.

Risk sentiment explained: FAQs

Investors’ willingness to accept risk over a given period is commonly described in financial markets using the terms “risk-on” and “risk-off”. Optimism about the outlook characterises a “risk-on” market, encouraging investors to purchase riskier assets. When markets turn “risk-off”, concerns about the future prompt investors to ‘play it safe’. They favour lower-risk assets offering greater certainty of a return, even if that return is relatively modest.

A positive growth outlook usually supports equities and most commodities, apart from gold, during “risk-on” periods. Stronger demand also lifts the currencies of major commodity-exporting countries, while cryptocurrencies advance. By contrast, “risk-off” conditions tend to lift bonds, particularly those issued by major governments. Gold performs well, and safe-haven currencies including the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and US dollar benefit too.

Currencies that typically strengthen when markets are “risk-on” include the Australian dollar (AUD), Canadian dollar (CAD) and New Zealand dollar (NZD), alongside less widely traded currencies such as the rouble (RUB) and South African rand (ZAR). Growth in their respective economies depends heavily on commodity exports. As investors anticipate stronger economic activity and, in turn, greater future demand for raw materials, commodity prices tend to increase during these periods, supporting those currencies.

During “risk-off” periods, the US dollar (USD), Japanese yen (JPY) and Swiss franc (CHF) are the major currencies that generally appreciate. The dollar benefits from its status as the world’s reserve currency and from crisis-driven purchases of US government debt. Investors regard that debt as safe because the world’s largest economy is unlikely to default. Demand for Japanese government bonds supports the yen: domestic investors own a high proportion of these bonds and are unlikely to sell them off, even during a crisis. For the Swiss franc, support comes from Switzerland’s strict banking laws, which provide investors with greater capital protection.