50-day EMA: Bitcoin holds support while Ethereum and XRP encounter structural resistance | Crypto Today

• $81,000 is back below Bitcoin on Friday. The advance follows a successful defence of support at the 50-day EMA.
• $2,400 remains Ethereum’s broad consolidation area, with the price resting on a cluster of medium- and long-term moving averages.
• $1.32 is back below XRP as it rebounds after Thursday’s steep sell-off tested demand at $1.30.

$81,000 is back below Bitcoin (BTC) as it edges higher on Friday. A recent successful defence of structural support near $80,000 has strengthened the Crypto King’s existing bullish outlook. Ethereum (ETH) is also making modest gains above $2,400. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, trades above $1.32 following a test of support around $1.30.

3.75-4.00% Fed rate range in focus

A Wednesday hold at 3.75-4.00% remains the widely expected outcome for Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates. Following September’s 25-basis-point increase, market pricing assigns about a 92% probability that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will leave rates unchanged.

An October rate increase carries an 8% probability, according to the FedWatch Tool. The likelihood of a rise is higher for December.

In an analysis report sent by email, Crypto Finance said: "The FOMC meets 27-28 October, with the decision on Wednesday, 28 October. With inflation risk still elevated and risk assets already tightening financial conditions, the market will watch closely for any shift in the Fed's reaction function,"

Demand for digital asset investment products has weakened this week. Reflecting that retreat, the crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 50, in Neutral territory, on Friday from 68, in the Greed range, a day earlier. The decline coincides with increased volatility before the Fed decision. Investors are staying on the sidelines until the central bank’s policy direction becomes clear.

$81,862 Bitcoin price retains bullish technical outlook

At $81,862, Bitcoin remains above its key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), maintaining a bullish short-term outlook. Below the spot price, the 50-day EMA around $80,879 and SuperTrend line near $79,664 provide successive layers of dynamic support. The wider uptrend structure also draws support from the 100-day EMA at $77,529 and 200-day EMA at $76,209.

The momentum picture is less convincing. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) just below 50 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator still in negative territory, further gains may develop slowly and resemble a corrective move rather than an impulsive advance.

The first support level is the 50-day EMA at $80,879. Next comes the SuperTrend baseline at $79,664, where buyers may attempt to protect the existing bullish structure. A larger retreat would bring the 100-day EMA at $77,529 into view, followed by another support layer at the 200-day EMA of $76,209.

No indicator-defined resistance is evident on the daily chart, leaving the ability to stay above the EMA cluster as the main focus. Holding above the 50-day EMA would preserve scope for a gradual return to the broader uptrend. Conversely, a daily close below it would undermine the positive outlook.

Crypto Finance also said: "The $80,000-$81,000 area remains the line bulls have repeatedly defended, while $83,000 is the first level that would suggest buyers are beginning to regain control. Beyond that, the $85-$87,000 area remains the larger resistance zone that capped the September and early-October rally,"

$2,410 Ethereum and $1.32 XRP target near-term technical recovery

At $2,410, Ethereum is holding above its 100-day EMA at $2,365 and 200-day EMA at $2,317, preserving a mildly positive short-term outlook. The price has recovered the area near $2,368 where the rising support trendline was broken. However, attempts to advance remain constrained: Ethereum is still below the 50-period EMA at $2,475 and SuperTrend resistance at $2,675.

A slight improvement in the MACD has not lifted it above zero, while the RSI stands around 41. Together, these readings point to stabilisation rather than forceful bullish momentum.

The recovered trendline area around $2,368 offers the nearest support, closely followed by the 100-EMA at $2,365. Below that, the 200-EMA near $2,317 is another level where buyers may try to preserve the broader uptrend structure.

On the upside, the 50-EMA around $2,475 is the first resistance level, followed by the more substantial SuperTrend barrier near $2,675. Clearing these levels on a daily closing basis would create scope for a more decisive bullish extension. If the $2,368-$2,365 support cluster fails to hold, attention would instead return to the $2,317 area.

Despite its recent rebound from lower levels, XRP retains a bearish broader outlook at $1.32. Pressure persists because the price remains below the 100-day EMA at $1.34, the 50-day EMA at $1.37 and the 200-day EMA at $1.38.

Well above the spot price, the SuperTrend indicator at $1.47 adds weight to the existing downtrend. The RSI has recovered from oversold territory to near 43, but this still points to only limited bullish momentum within a predominantly bearish structure.

To relieve immediate selling pressure, XRP would need a sustained close above its first resistance level, the 100-day EMA at $1.34. Beyond that, the 50-day EMA at $1.37 and 200-day EMA at $1.38 create a concentrated supply zone. Only a decisive break through that band would indicate a more lasting recovery. Further out, the SuperTrend level at $1.47 remains a significant medium-term obstacle.

The daily chart offers no nearby moving-average or trendline support. As a result, weakening momentum would leave the pair vulnerable to another round of selling.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)