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Chinese Yuan: Modest decline expected against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Ho Woei Chen and Peter Chia note that the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has announced an increase in the foreign-currency reserve requirement ratio to 6%, effective 15 November, to slow Chinese Yuan (CNY) appreciation. The analysts maintain a cautious medium-term outlook on CNY amid widening interest rate differentials and expect a modest recovery in USD/CNY. UOB will update its forecasts on 6 November.
PBoC move reinforces cautious CNY outlook
"In a statement on Tue (3 Nov), the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said the reserve requirement ratio for foreign currency deposits (FC RRR) will be increased by 2 ppt to 6% from the current 4%, effective from 15 Nov."
"The PBOC uses adjustments to the FC RRR as a primary tool to manage domestic foreign-currency liquidity and stabilise the value of the CNY."
"We have recently shifted to a cautious medium-term outlook on CNY due to the widening interest rate differential with the USD."
"The FC RRR hike further reinforced our view of a modest recovery in USD/CNY from here."
"We will update our USD/CNY forecasts at the upcoming FX & Interest Rate Monthly Report scheduled to be released on 6 Nov."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)
Eng yaxshi maqolalar
1Canada’s Carney: Talks with US to become more intensive2Gold declines below $3,950 on stronger US Dollar, US midterm elections in focus3Ethereum Price Forecast: US-led selling keeps ETH below $2,309 realized price4New Zealand’s Unemployment Rate climbs to 5.7% in Q3 vs. 5.5% expected5Aussie slips below 0.7000 as RBA hike fails to offset US election woes6Kiwi falls as New Zealand unemployment rises to 5.7%7The British Pound heads into a Bank of England hike priced well beyond this one8Chinese Yuan: Modest decline expected against US Dollar – UOB9Banxico survey sees 6.50% rates through 2027, Peso near 18.40
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